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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
10.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Galatasaray - Liverpool

World Football
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
1 : 0
Finished
Liverpool
Liverpool

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Galatasaray - Liverpool March 10, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Line favourite market consensus: Liverpool. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.39 / X 4.06 / 2 1.75
  • 1X2 market: Galatasaray 21.8% / X 23.5% / Liverpool 54.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 21.8%
X 23.6%
2 54.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.0%
Over 2.5 61.7%
Under 2.5 38.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.03.2026 17:45 UTC
Match center

Galatasaray - Liverpool

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.75 market consensus · line only
X 4.06 market consensus · line only
1 4.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.11 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.46 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.42 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
4.10 24.4% 4.40 22.7% 4.56 21.9% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0% 4.60 21.7%
X 3.90 25.6% 4.20 23.8% 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.10 24.4%
1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.40 41.7% 2.48 40.3% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.36 42.4% 2.51 39.8% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.54 64.9% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8% 1.57 63.7% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.18 84.8% 1.25 80.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.00 50.0% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.0 1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5 1.18 84.8% 1.12 89.3%
Over 1.75 1.14 87.7%
Over 2.5 1.55 64.5%
Over 3.0 1.91 52.4%
Over 3.25 2.06 48.5%
Over 3.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 4.5 4.20 23.8%
Over 5.5 7.50 13.3%
Under 1.5 4.75 21.1%
Under 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.0 2.01 49.8%
Under 3.25 1.84 54.4%
Under 3.5 1.57 63.7%
Under 4.5 1.22 82.0%
Under 5.5 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Galatasaray
L W L D L
25.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 0:3 JuventusJuventus
17.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 5:2 JuventusJuventus
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 0:2 Manchester CityManchester City
21.01 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray 0:1 MonacoMonaco
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Liverpool
W W W L W
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 6:0 QarabagQarabag
21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 3:0 MarseilleMarseille
09.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:0 InterInter
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:4 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Liverpool 1:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGalatasaray - Liverpool

Galatasaray
1 matches total
Liverpool
Galatasaray: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Liverpool: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Galatasaray 1:0 (30.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 30.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

30.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Galatasaray
1:0
Liverpul