Match center
Start
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Lille - Real Madrid
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lille - Real Madrid 2 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.97 / X 4.05 / 2 1.72
- 1X2 market: Lille 19.5% / X 24.0% / Real Madrid 56.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.0%
1
19.5%
X
24.0%
2
56.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Lille - Real Madrid
Form
1/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.72
market consensus · line only
X
4.05
market consensus · line only
1
4.97
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.21
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
2.30
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.17
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.97 20.1% |
| Х | 4.05 24.7% |
| П2 | 1.72 58.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.21 82.6% |
| home_away | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_draw | 2.30 43.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.17 46.1% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 3.80 26.3% |
| П2 | 1.30 76.9% |
Match center
Lille
L
Lille
0:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
0
Points
Real Madrid
W
Real Madrid
3:1
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLille - Real Madrid
Lille
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals