UEFA Champions League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Liverpool — 74%
Model estimate: win Liverpool 74.5%, draw 15.8%, win Galatasaray 9.8%. Model favourite — Liverpool.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Liverpool: Win 1.28 Liverpool: Draw 6.43 Galatasaray Win: 9.75 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.04 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.82 Individualnyy total golov Liverpool bolshe 2.5: 1.87 Individualnyy total golov Liverpool menshe 2.5: 1.95 Individualnyy total golov Gala…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% | |
| X | 6.20 16.1% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.58 15.2% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.50 15.4% |
| 8.30 12.1% | 8.90 11.2% | 11.70 8.6% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.00 10.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.21 45.3% | 1.97 50.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.65 27.4% | 4.02 24.9% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.94 51.6% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.36 73.5% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Liverpool
Galatasaray
Qarabag
Marseille
Inter
PSV Eindhoven
Galatasaray
Liverpul
Juventus
Juventus
Manchester City
Atletiko Madrid
Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Liverpool - Galatasaray breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
