Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.

UEFA Champions League World

14.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

14.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Finished

UEFA Champions League

Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain

World Football

Stadium Enfild

Liverpool

0 : 2

Finished

Paris Saint Germain

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Liverpool — 39%

1 · Liverpool39.0%

X · draw23.1%

2 · Paris Saint Germain37.9%

Model estimate: win Liverpool 39.0%, draw 23.1%, win Paris Saint Germain 37.9%. Model favourite — Liverpool.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain April 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Liverpool.

Strongest: Liverpool - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 4.10 / 2 2.60
1X2 market: Liverpool 39.9% / X 23.4% / Paris Saint Germain 36.8%
Glicko: Liverpool 39.0% / X 23.1% / Paris Saint Germain 37.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 32.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 39.9%

X 23.3%

2 36.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.3%

Over 2.5 67.7%

Under 2.5 32.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 4/6

Confidence 47.2%

Total Under 2.5

Score 1:1

Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Start 14.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Stadium Enfild (Liverpul)

? ? ??? ? ??????§? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ? ??? ? ? ??° ? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ? ??? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ????? ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????±? ? ? ??? ? ??????? ? ??? ? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ?????¦? ? ??? ? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ??????· SStats.

🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Liverpool 39%

💹 Market Liverpool 3989%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Liverpool - Paris Saint Germain

Liverpool: Win 2.35 Liverpool: Draw 4.10 Paris Saint Germain Win: 2.60 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.00 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.80 Individualnyy total golov Liverpool bolshe 1.5: 1.73 Individualnyy total golov Liverpool menshe 1.5: 2.00 Individualnyy total go…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

yes Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:2

Events 13

Statistics 24

Lineups 40

min Event Player Team

31' 31' Substitution 1 | H. Ekitike | assist/sub out: M. Salah Liverpool

38' 38' Substitution 1 | N. Mendes | assist/sub out: L. Hernandez Paris Saint Germain

45+1' 45+1' Yellow Card | A. Mac Allister Uchenna Aririerisim Liverpool

46' 46' Substitution 2 | J. Frimpong | assist/sub out: J. Gomez Liverpool

46' 46' Substitution 3 | A. Isak | assist/sub out: C. Gakpo P. Sy Liverpool

52' 52' Substitution 3 | D. Doue | assist/sub out: B. Barcola Paris Saint Germain

65' 65' Penalty cancelled | A. Mac Allister Uchenna Aririerisim Liverpool

67' 67' Substitution 5 | assist/sub out: R. Ngumoha Liverpool

Metric Liverpool Paris Saint Germain SStats

Ozhidaemye goly (xG) 1.94 1.25 final

Zablokirovannye udary 7 4 final

Shots off target 9 2 final

Shots on target 5 6 final

Udary vsego 21 12 final

Fouls soversheno 9 10 final

Zheltye kartochki 2 0 final

Offsides 4 4 final

Liverpool #4 Virgil van Dijk, #5 I. Konate, #6 M. Kerkez, #7 F. Wirtz, #8 Dominik Szoboszlai, #9 Alexander Isak, #10 A. Mac Allister, #22 H. Ekitike, #25 G. Mamardashvili, #30 J. Frimpong, #38 Ryan Gravenberch

Paris Saint Germain #2 Achraf Hakimi, #5 Marquinhos, #7 K. Kvaratskhelia, #10 Ousmane Dembélé, #14 Désiré Doué, #25 Nuno Mendes, #33 Warren Zaïre-Emery, #39 M. Safonov, #51 Willian Pacho, #87 João Neves

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Mac Allister Liverpool football.player.assists 0

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Dribling popytki 3

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Edinoborstva vyigrano 7

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Fouls soversheno 1

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Seyvy 0

A. Mac Allister Liverpool football.player.minutes_played 74

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Klyuchevye pasy 17

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Reyting (staryy) 6.5

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Shots on target 1

A. Mac Allister Liverpool Bloki 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Liverpool 40.3% 39.0% market and model agree

Draw 23.6% 23.1% draw risk

Paris Saint Germain 36.1% 37.9%

xG - 1.65 : 1.62

Total 2.5 Over 32.6% - Under 67.4%

Model check - - Difference 0.02

Favourite-trap risk Market vs Glicko gap: 0.02

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 39.0% / 23.1% / 37.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,801 / 1,901 Liverpool / Paris Saint Germain

RD 117 / 106 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.60 market consensus · no value · model 37.9%

X 4.10 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.40 market consensus · no value · model 39.0%

Double chance

X2 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 61.0%

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.9%

1X 1.49 market consensus · no value · model 62.1%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.53 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.01 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.39 market consensus · no value · model 32.6%

Under 2.5 2.91 market consensus · weak value +96.0% · model 67.4%

Both teams to score

No 2.95 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.38 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.36 42.4%	2.51 39.8%	2.42 41.3%	2.35 42.6%	2.42 41.3%	2.38 42.0%
X	3.95 25.3%	4.15 24.1%	4.24 23.6%	4.10 24.4%	4.20 23.8%	4.10 24.4%
	2.55 39.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.73 36.6%	2.60 38.5%	2.67 37.5%	2.63 38.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.95 33.9%	2.92 34.3%	2.85 35.1%	3.00 33.3%	2.85 35.1%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%	3.04 32.9%	3.10 32.3%
yes	1.36 73.5%	1.41 70.9%	1.38 72.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.39 71.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.33 75.2%	1.38 72.5%	1.35 74.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.63 61.4%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.27 78.7%	1.22 82.0%	1.24 80.7%	1.17 85.5%	1.20 83.3%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.50 66.7%	1.52 65.8%	1.44 69.4%	1.47 68.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	—	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.5	1.11 90.1%	—	1.06 94.3%
Over 1.75	—	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 2.0	—	—	1.10 90.9%
Over 2.25	—	—	1.23 81.3%
Over 2.5	1.38 72.5%	—	—
Over 3.25	—	1.95 51.3%	—
Over 3.5	2.00 50.0%	—	—
Over 4.5	3.25 30.8%	—	—
Over 5.5	5.75 17.4%	—	—
Under 1.5	6.25 16.0%	—	—
Under 2.5	2.95 33.9%	—	—
Under 3.25	—	1.95 51.3%	—
Under 3.5	1.80 55.6%	—	—
Under 4.5	1.33 75.2%	—	—
Under 5.5	1.12 89.3%	—	—

Match center

Liverpool

Founded 1892

Paris Saint Germain

Founded 1970

Match center

Liverpool

AB Alisson Becker Muscle Injury

CJ Curtis Jones Injury

Paris Saint Germain

FR Fabián Ruiz Knee Injury

BB B. Barcola Ankle Injury

Liverpool Founded: 1892

Paris Saint Germain Founded: 1970

Match center

Liverpool

L W L W W

08.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpool 0:2 Paris Saint Germain

18.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpool 4:0 Galatasaray

10.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpool 0:1 Galatasaray

28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpool 6:0 Qarabag

21.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpool 3:0 Marseille

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.6 Conceded

9 Points

Paris Saint Germain

W W W D W

08.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain 2:0 Liverpul

17.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain 3:0 Chelsea

11.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain 5:2 Chelsea

25.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain 2:2 Monaco

17.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain 3:2 Monaco

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

1.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyLiverpool - Paris Saint Germain

Liverpool

1 matches total

Paris Saint Germain

Liverpool: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Paris Saint Germain 0:2 (08.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 08.04 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

08.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League

Liverpul

0:2

Paris Saint Germain

Match center

? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ??? ????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ? ? ?? ? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????±? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????»? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????° ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????µ? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ????? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ??? ? ????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ?? ? ? ??????? ?????????? ? ??? ? ? ? ???? ? ? ??? ??? ???????? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ? ??-? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ??? ? ??? ??????¦? ? ??? ? ?????? ? ? ???????? ??????°.

The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.