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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
06.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC

World Football
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
0 : 0
Finished
Ferencvarosi TC
Ferencvarosi TC

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC August 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ferencvarosi TC.

Line favourite Fonbet: Ferencvarosi TC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.10 / X 3.15 / 2 2.50
  • 1X2 market: Ludogorets 31.0% / X 30.5% / Ferencvarosi TC 38.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.0%
1 31.0%
X 30.5%
2 38.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 42.6%
Under 2.5 57.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Ludogorets - Ferencvarosi TC

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.50 Fonbet · line only
X 3.15 Fonbet · line only
1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 Fonbet · line only
12 1.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.12 32.1%
X 3.13 32.0%
2.44 41.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.95 33.9% 2.31 43.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.50 40.0% 2.74 36.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Betway Bwin
no 1.83 54.6% 1.92 52.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.86 53.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betway
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.39 71.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
Match center
Ludogorets
D D L W
30.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:1 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
22.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 0:0 HNK RijekaHNK Rijeka
16.07 18:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:2 Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
09.07 17:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ludogorets 1:0 Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk
1 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Ferencvarosi TC
W W
30.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferencvarosi TC 4:3 FC NoahFC Noah
22.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Ferencvarosi TC 2:1 FC NoahFC Noah
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points