UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Manchester City - Sparta Praha

World Futbol
Manchester City
Manchester City
5 : 0
Finished
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Manchester City - Sparta Praha 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.

Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.10 / X 11.00 / 2 19.00
  • 1X2 market: Manchester City 86.4% / X 8.6% / Sparta Praha 5.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 86.4%
X 8.6%
2 5.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Manchester City - Sparta Praha

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 7.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.05 market consensus · line only
1X 1.02 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.10 90.9%
Х 11.00 9.1%
П2 19.00 5.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 7.00 14.3%
home_away 1.05 95.2%
home_draw 1.02 98.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.06 94.3%
П2 10.00 10.0%
Match center
Manchester City
W D
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 4:0 Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Manchester City 0:0 InterInter
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Sparta Praha
D W
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sparta Praha 1:1 VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sparta Praha 3:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points