UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
19.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Monaco - Barcelona

World Futbol
Monaco
Monaco
2 : 1
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monaco - Barcelona 19 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.67 / X 4.35 / 2 1.70
  • 1X2 market: Monaco 20.7% / X 22.3% / Barcelona 57.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 20.7%
X 22.3%
2 57.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Monaco - Barcelona

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.70 market consensus · line only
X 4.35 market consensus · line only
1 4.67 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.27 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.67 21.4%
Х 4.35 23.0%
П2 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.23 81.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0%
home_draw 2.27 44.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.15 46.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.63 27.6%
П2 1.32 75.8%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Barcelona

Monaco
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history