Match center
Start
17.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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17.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Monaco - Paris Saint Germain
2
:
3
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Monaco - Paris Saint Germain February 17, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.44 / X 4.83 / 2 1.45
- 1X2 market: Monaco 14.8% / X 19.7% / Paris Saint Germain 65.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
14.8%
X
19.7%
2
65.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5
64.2%
Under 2.5
35.8%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Monaco - Paris Saint Germain
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.45
market consensus · line only
X
4.83
market consensus · line only
1
6.44
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.12
market consensus · line only
12
1.18
market consensus · line only
1X
2.73
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.12
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.02
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.72
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.47
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.64
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.24
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.61
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.40 15.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.56 15.2% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.40 15.6% | |
| X | 4.50 22.2% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.02 19.9% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 5.00 20.0% |
| 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.29 43.7% | 2.24 44.6% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.32 43.1% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% | 1.66 60.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 2.65 37.7% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.72 36.8% | 2.63 38.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.82 55.0% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.60 27.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.08 48.1% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.90 52.6% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.28 78.1% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | — |
Match center
Monaco
D
L
W
D
W
Monaco
0:0
Juventus
Juventus
Monaco
1:6
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Monaco
1:0
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Monaco
2:2
Pafos
Pafos
Monaco
1:0
Bodo/Glimt
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Paris Saint Germain
D
L
D
W
L
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Paris Saint Germain
5:3
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Bavariya
Bavariya
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyMonaco - Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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