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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
18.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
18.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Newcastle - Barcelona

World Football
Newcastle
Newcastle
1 : 2
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Newcastle - Barcelona September 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.

Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.72 / 2 2.60
  • 1X2 market: Newcastle 37.3% / X 25.7% / Barcelona 37.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 37.3%
X 25.8%
2 36.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 63.1%
Under 2.5 36.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Newcastle - Barcelona

Form 0/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.72 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.53 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.94 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.43 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.43 41.2%
X 3.80 26.3%
2.83 35.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.48 40.3% 2.92 34.3% 2.54 39.4% 2.50 40.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.60 38.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0%
2.64 37.9% 2.31 43.3% 2.76 36.2% 2.60 38.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.62 38.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.70 37.0% 2.81 35.6% 2.73 36.6% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4% 2.57 38.9% 2.80 35.7% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7%
yes 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.42 70.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.53 65.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Barcelona
D D L W W
06.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 3:3 InterInter
30.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 3:3 InterInter
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 1:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 4:0 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
23.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Barcelona 4:1 BavariyaBavariya
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Barcelona

Newcastle
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history