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Start
10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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10.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Newcastle - Barcelona
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Newcastle - Barcelona March 10, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.
Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.67 / X 3.89 / 2 2.41
- 1X2 market: Newcastle 35.8% / X 24.6% / Barcelona 39.6%
- Total 2.5: over probability 66.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
35.8%
X
24.6%
2
39.6%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5
66.9%
Under 2.5
33.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Newcastle - Barcelona
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.41
market consensus · line only
X
3.89
market consensus · line only
1
2.67
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.49
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.58
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.50
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.23
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.34
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.56
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.42
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.87
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
3.00
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.37
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | 2.69 37.2% | 2.76 36.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.70 37.0% | |
| X | 3.95 25.3% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.94 25.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 2.34 42.7% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.51 39.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.40 41.7% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.90 34.5% | 3.15 31.8% | 2.77 36.1% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.92 34.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 2.95 33.9% | 3.21 31.2% | 3.00 33.3% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.37 73.0% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.37 73.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.51 66.2% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.52 65.8% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.55 64.5% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.61 62.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.42 70.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.35 29.9% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.00 16.7% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.80 35.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.02 49.5% | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 2.09 47.9% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.88 53.2% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | — |
Match center
Newcastle
W
W
D
W
D
Newcastle
3:2
Qarabag
Qarabag
Newcastle
6:1
Qarabag
Qarabag
Newcastle
1:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
3:0
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
11
Points
Barcelona
W
W
W
L
D
Barcelona
4:1
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Barcelona
4:2
Slavia Praha
Slavia Praha
Barcelona
2:1
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Barcelona
0:3
Chelsea
Chelsea
Barcelona
3:3
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.6
Scored
2.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNewcastle - Barcelona
Newcastle
1
matches total
Newcastle: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Barselona 1:2 (18.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (1:2, 18.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Nyukasl
1:2
Barselona
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