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UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
18.02.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction
18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Olympiakos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen

World Football
Olympiakos Piraeus
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 2
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Olympiakos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen February 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Olympiakos Piraeus.

Line favourite market consensus: Olympiakos Piraeus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.27 / 2 2.92
  • 1X2 market: Olympiakos Piraeus 38.3% / X 29.1% / Bayer Leverkusen 32.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 38.3%
X 29.1%
2 32.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Match center

Olympiakos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.27 market consensus · line only
1 2.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.84 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.05 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.44 41.0% 2.47 40.5% 2.55 39.2% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.52 39.7%
X 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
2.84 35.2% 2.94 34.0% 3.06 32.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.14 46.7%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.58 63.3% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet
Over 0.5 1.06 94.3% — 1.02 98.0%
Over 0.75 — — 1.03 97.1%
Over 1.0 — — 1.05 95.2%
Over 1.25 — — 1.17 85.5%
Over 1.5 1.33 75.2% — 1.29 77.5%
Over 1.75 — — 1.37 73.0%
Over 2.5 2.00 50.0% 2.04 49.0% —
Over 3.5 3.45 29.0% — —
Over 4.5 6.50 15.4% — —
Under 0.5 8.50 11.8% — —
Under 1.5 3.25 30.8% — —
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% —
Under 3.5 1.30 76.9% — —
Under 4.5 1.10 90.9% — —
Match center
Olympiakos Piraeus
W W W L D
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 2:1 AjaxAjax
20.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 2:0 Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
09.12 15:30 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 1:0 Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty
26.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 3:4 Real MadridReal Madrid
04.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W L D W W
28.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 3:0 VillarrealVillarreal
20.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 Olympiakos Piraeus
10.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 2:2 NyukaslNyukasl
25.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 2:0 Manchester CityManchester City
05.11 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 BenficaBenfica
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyOlympiakos Piraeus - Bayer Leverkusen

Olympiakos Piraeus
1 matches total
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Bayer Leverkusen: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Olympiakos Piraeus 2:0 (20.01 20:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 20.01 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

20.01 20:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Olympiakos Piraeus
2:0
Bayer Leverkusen