UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
07.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal

World Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
2 : 1
Finished
Arsenal
Arsenal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal 7 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.40 / X 3.61 / 2 3.04
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 40.8% / X 27.1% / Arsenal 32.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.3%
1 40.7%
X 27.1%
2 32.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.5%
Over 2.5 52.2%
Under 2.5 47.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 07.05.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Arsenal

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.61 market consensus · line only
1 2.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.40 41.7%
Х 3.61 27.7%
П2 3.04 32.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.64 61.0%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5 2.04 49.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.70 58.8%
П2 2.24 44.6%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W L W D L
29.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 ArsenalArsenal
15.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 2:3 Aston VillaAston Villa
09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 3:1 Aston VillaAston Villa
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 1:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
Arsenal
L W W W W
29.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 0:1 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
08.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 3:0 Real MadridReal Madrid
22.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 1:0 Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar Donetsk
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Arsenal 2:0 Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Arsenal

Paris Saint Germain
2 matches total
Arsenal
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Arsenal: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Arsenal 0:2 (01.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 01.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

29.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
1:0
Arsenal
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
0:2
Arsenal