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Start
04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
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04.11.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Bayern München
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Bayern München November 4, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.53 / X 3.78 / 2 2.58
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 37.8% / X 25.3% / Bayern München 37.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 66.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.7%
1
37.7%
X
25.3%
2
37.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5
66.7%
Under 2.5
33.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Bayern München
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.58
market consensus · line only
X
3.78
market consensus · line only
1
2.53
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.54
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.51
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.26
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.57
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.86
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.42
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.84
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.98
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.37
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.52 39.7% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.10 24.4% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% |
| 2.52 39.7% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.57 38.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.94 34.0% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.89 34.6% | 3.17 31.6% |
| yes | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.50 66.7% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.54 64.9% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.12 89.3% | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.09 47.9% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.20 31.3% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.75 17.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.88 34.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.13 88.5% | — | — |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
W
W
W
W
Paris Saint Germain
7:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Barselona
Barselona
Paris Saint Germain
4:0
Atalanta
Atalanta
Paris Saint Germain
5:0
Inter
Inter
Paris Saint Germain
2:1
Arsenal
Arsenal
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
0.8
Conceded
15
Points
Bayern München
W
W
W
D
L
Bayern München
4:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
Bayern München
5:1
Pafos
Pafos
Bayern München
3:1
Chelsea
Chelsea
Bayern München
2:2
Inter
Inter
Bayern München
1:2
Inter
Inter
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Bayern München
Paris Saint Germain
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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