Match center
Start
11.03.2026 20:00 UTC
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11.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Chelsea
5
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Chelsea March 11, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.04 / X 3.69 / 2 3.52
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 46.9% / X 25.9% / Chelsea 27.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.5%
1
46.9%
X
25.9%
2
27.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Chelsea
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.52
market consensus · line only
X
3.69
market consensus · line only
1
2.04
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.79
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.31
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.82
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.44
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.30
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.05
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.37
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.48
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.51
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | |
| X | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.81 26.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 3.50 28.6% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.67 27.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.65 27.4% | 3.50 28.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.50 40.0% | 2.54 39.4% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.45 40.8% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.83 54.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.32 75.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.81 55.3% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.38 42.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.11 47.4% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
D
W
D
L
D
Paris Saint Germain
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
1
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.4
Conceded
6
Points
Chelsea
W
W
L
W
D
Chelsea
3:2
Napoli
Napoli
Chelsea
1:0
Pafos
Pafos
Chelsea
1:2
Atalanta
Atalanta
Chelsea
3:0
Barselona
Barselona
Chelsea
2:2
Qarabag
Qarabag
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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