UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
18.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain - Girona

World Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 0
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Girona 18 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 6.06 / 2 9.86
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 74.3% / X 15.9% / Girona 9.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.6%
1 74.3%
X 15.9%
2 9.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - Girona

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.86 market consensus · line only
X 6.06 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.89 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.30 76.9%
Х 6.06 16.5%
П2 9.86 10.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.89 25.7%
home_away 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.10 90.9%
П2 8.33 12.0%