Match center
Start
25.02.2026 20:00 UTC
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25.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco
2
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - Monaco February 25, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.
Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.39 / 2 9.61
- 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 75.1% / X 15.0% / Monaco 10.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 70.9%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.8%
1
75.1%
X
14.9%
2
9.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5
71.1%
Under 2.5
28.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Paris Saint Germain - Monaco
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.12
market consensus · line only
X
6.39
market consensus · line only
1
1.27
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.82
market consensus · line only
12
1.12
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.59
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.00
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.15
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.32
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
3.24
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.19
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.64
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% | |
| X | 6.00 16.7% | 6.90 14.5% | 6.85 14.6% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.25 16.0% | 6.50 15.4% |
| 9.10 11.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.90 9.2% | 9.50 10.5% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.50 10.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.20 45.5% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.11 47.4% | 2.21 45.3% |
| yes | 1.62 61.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.70 58.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.70 27.0% | 4.02 24.9% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.04 96.2% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.10 90.9% | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.06 94.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.35 74.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | — |
| Over 3.75 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.90 34.5% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 5.00 20.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 6.50 15.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 3.10 32.3% | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.93 51.8% | — | — |
| Under 3.75 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.40 71.4% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.17 85.5% | — | — |
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
W
D
L
D
W
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Monaco
Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1:1
Nyukasl
Nyukasl
Paris Saint Germain
1:2
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
Paris Saint Germain
0:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Paris Saint Germain
5:3
Tottenkhem
Tottenkhem
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
8
Points
Monaco
L
D
L
W
D
Monaco
2:3
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Monaco
0:0
Juventus
Juventus
Monaco
1:6
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Monaco
1:0
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Monaco
2:2
Pafos
Pafos
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.2
Scored
2.2
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyParis Saint Germain - Monaco
Paris Saint Germain
1
matches total
Paris Saint Germain: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Monaco: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Paris Saint Germain 3:2 (17.02 20:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (3:2, 17.02 20:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Paris Saint Germain
3:2
Monaco
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