UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Paris Saint Germain - PSV Eindhoven

World Futbol
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1
Finished
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paris Saint Germain - PSV Eindhoven 22 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Paris Saint Germain.

Line favourite market consensus: Paris Saint Germain. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.89 / 2 9.14
  • 1X2 market: Paris Saint Germain 73.1% / X 16.4% / PSV Eindhoven 10.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%
1 73.1%
X 16.4%
2 10.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Paris Saint Germain - PSV Eindhoven

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.14 market consensus · line only
X 5.89 market consensus · line only
1 1.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.16 market consensus · line only
1X 1.09 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.32 75.8%
Х 5.89 17.0%
П2 9.14 10.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.65 27.4%
home_away 1.16 86.2%
home_draw 1.09 91.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.94 51.6%
ТМ 3.5 1.94 51.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.11 90.1%
П2 7.53 13.3%
Match center
Paris Saint Germain
L W
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 0:2 ArsenalArsenal
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Paris Saint Germain 1:0 GironaGirona
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
PSV Eindhoven
D L
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:1 Sporting CPSporting CP
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points