UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

PSV Eindhoven - Sporting CP

World Futbol
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 1
Finished
Sporting CP
Sporting CP

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction PSV Eindhoven - Sporting CP 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting CP.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting CP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.32 / X 3.79 / 2 2.16
  • 1X2 market: PSV Eindhoven 29.3% / X 25.7% / Sporting CP 45.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 29.3%
X 25.7%
2 45.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

PSV Eindhoven - Sporting CP

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · line only
X 3.79 market consensus · line only
1 3.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.32 30.1%
Х 3.79 26.4%
П2 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.33 42.9%
ТМ 3.5 1.66 60.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.48 40.3%
П2 1.58 63.3%
Match center
PSV Eindhoven
L
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
PSV Eindhoven 1:3 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sporting CP
W
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sporting CP 2:0 LilleLille
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points