Match center
Start
10.12.2025 17:45 UTC
10.12.2025 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Qarabag - Ajax
2
:
4
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Qarabag - Ajax 10 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Qarabag.
Line favourite market consensus: Qarabag. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.69 / 2 3.15
- 1X2 market: Qarabag 44.1% / X 25.8% / Ajax 30.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.1%
1
44.0%
X
25.8%
2
30.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Qarabag - Ajax
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.15
market consensus · line only
X
3.69
market consensus · line only
1
2.16
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.71
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.37
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.74
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.36
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.05
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.15
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.61
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.35
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.47
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.51
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.14 46.7% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.18 45.9% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.65 27.4% |
| П2 | 3.20 31.3% | 2.93 34.1% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.15 31.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.41 41.5% | 2.59 38.6% |
| yes | 1.48 67.6% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.54 64.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.31 76.3% |
| home_draw | 1.33 75.2% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.40 71.4% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 1.0 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| ТБ 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.60 62.5% | — | — |
| ТБ 2.75 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| ТБ 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.45 40.8% | — | — |
| ТБ 4.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| ТМ 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| ТМ 1.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% | — | — |
| ТМ 2.75 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| ТМ 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.53 65.4% | — | — |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
Qarabag
L
D
L
W
W
Qarabag
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
Qarabag
2:2
Chelsea
Chelsea
Qarabag
1:3
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
Qarabag
2:0
FC Copenhagen
FC Copenhagen
Qarabag
3:2
Benfica
Benfica
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.8
Conceded
7
Points
Ajax
L
L
L
L
L
Ajax
0:2
Benfica
Benfica
Ajax
0:3
Galatasaray
Galatasaray
Ajax
1:5
Chelsea
Chelsea
Ajax
0:4
Marseille
Marseille
Ajax
0:2
Inter
Inter
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
0.2
Scored
3.2
Conceded
0
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Ajax
Qarabag
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals