Match center
Start
18.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Sign in to unlock the full prediction
Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
18.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Qarabag - Newcastle
1
:
6
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Qarabag - Newcastle February 18, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Newcastle.
Line favourite market consensus: Newcastle. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 7.23 / X 5.12 / 2 1.39
- 1X2 market: Qarabag 13.2% / X 18.6% / Newcastle 68.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 64.8%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
13.1%
X
18.5%
2
68.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5
64.8%
Under 2.5
35.2%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Match center
Qarabag - Newcastle
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.39
market consensus · line only
X
5.12
market consensus · line only
1
7.23
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.10
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
2.98
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.09
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.01
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
2 +1
1.59
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.46
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.69
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.21
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.63
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.75 14.8% | 7.20 13.9% | 7.27 13.8% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.80 12.8% | |
| X | 4.90 20.4% | 5.30 18.9% | 5.38 18.6% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.10 19.6% |
| 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.42 70.4% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.31 43.3% | 2.19 45.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.28 43.9% |
| yes | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.68 59.5% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.09 91.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.07 93.5% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.88 34.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.70 58.8% | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — |
Match center
Qarabag
L
W
L
L
D
Qarabag
0:6
Liverpul
Liverpul
Qarabag
3:2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
Qarabag
2:4
Ajax
Ajax
Qarabag
0:2
Napoli
Napoli
Qarabag
2:2
Chelsea
Chelsea
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
3.2
Conceded
4
Points
Newcastle
D
W
D
L
W
Newcastle
1:1
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
Newcastle
3:0
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
2:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
1:2
Marseille
Marseille
Newcastle
2:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.0
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyQarabag - Newcastle
Qarabag
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Qarabag - Newcastle breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form