UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

RB Leipzig - Juventus

World Futbol
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
2 : 3
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction RB Leipzig - Juventus 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like RB Leipzig.

Line favourite market consensus: RB Leipzig. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.20 / 2 3.06
  • 1X2 market: RB Leipzig 37.8% / X 30.4% / Juventus 31.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 37.8%
X 30.4%
2 31.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%
Over 2.5 45.4%
Under 2.5 54.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

RB Leipzig - Juventus

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.06 market consensus · line only
X 3.20 market consensus · line only
1 2.57 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.14 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.57 38.9%
Х 3.20 31.3%
П2 3.06 32.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.56 64.1%
home_away 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.43 69.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.14 46.7%
ТМ 2.5 1.78 56.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.78 56.2%
П2 2.12 47.2%
Match center
RB Leipzig
L
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
RB Leipzig 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Juventus
W
17.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Juventus 3:1 PSV EindhovenPSV Eindhoven
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyRB Leipzig - Juventus

RB Leipzig
0 matches total
Juventus
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history