Match center
Start
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
22.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund
5
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 22 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 5.43 / 2 7.38
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 69.1% / X 17.8% / Borussia Dortmund 13.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
69.1%
X
17.8%
2
13.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund
Form
2/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.38
market consensus · line only
X
5.43
market consensus · line only
1
1.40
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.13
market consensus · line only
12
1.19
market consensus · line only
1X
1.12
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.40 71.4% |
| Х | 5.43 18.4% |
| П2 | 7.38 13.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.13 32.0% |
| home_away | 1.19 84.0% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.97 50.8% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.16 86.2% |
| П2 | 6.00 16.7% |
Match center
Real Madrid
L
W
Real Madrid
0:1
Lille
Lille
Real Madrid
3:1
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.0
Conceded
3
Points
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
Borussia Dortmund
7:1
Celtic
Celtic
Borussia Dortmund
3:0
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
5.0
Scored
0.5
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Borussia Dortmund
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals