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Start
10.12.2025 20:00 UTC
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10.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City
1
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Manchester City December 10, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Manchester City.
Line favourite market consensus: Manchester City. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 3.85 / 2 2.25
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 33.2% / X 24.7% / Manchester City 42.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
33.1%
X
24.7%
2
42.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.9%
Over 2.5
65.6%
Under 2.5
34.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Manchester City
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.25
market consensus · line only
X
3.85
market consensus · line only
1
2.87
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.42
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.66
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.46
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.22
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.20
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.18
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.44
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.74
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.86
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.39
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.92 34.3% | 2.59 38.6% | 2.99 33.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.95 33.9% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% | 3.70 27.0% | 4.00 25.0% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.95 25.3% |
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.80 35.7% | 2.87 34.8% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.80 35.7% | 2.75 36.4% | 2.80 35.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.76 36.2% | 3.06 32.7% |
| yes | 1.38 72.5% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.41 70.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.40 71.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.68 59.5% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | 1.09 91.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.11 90.1% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.14 87.7% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.28 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.99 50.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.10 47.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.73 57.8% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
L
W
W
W
Real Madrid
4:3
Olympiakos Piraeus
Real Madrid
0:1
Liverpul
Liverpul
Real Madrid
1:0
Juventus
Juventus
Real Madrid
5:0
Kairat Almaty
Kairat Almaty
Real Madrid
2:1
Marseille
Marseille
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.0
Conceded
12
Points
Manchester City
L
W
W
D
W
Manchester City
0:2
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City
4:1
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
Manchester City
2:2
Monaco
Monaco
Manchester City
2:0
Napoli
Napoli
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Manchester City
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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