UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
02.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta

World Futbol
Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 : 3
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.52 / X 4.10 / 2 1.65
  • 1X2 market: Shakhtar Donetsk 17.6% / X 23.7% / Atalanta 58.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 17.6%
X 23.7%
2 58.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 55.4%
Under 2.5 44.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Shakhtar Donetsk - Atalanta

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.65 market consensus · line only
X 4.10 market consensus · line only
1 5.52 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 2.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.52 18.1%
Х 4.10 24.4%
П2 1.65 60.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1%
home_draw 2.37 42.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.75 57.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.17 46.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.20 23.8%
П2 1.26 79.4%
Match center
Shakhtar Donetsk
D
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Shakhtar Donetsk 0:0 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points
Atalanta
D
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Atalanta 0:0 ArsenalArsenal
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points