UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
17.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Sporting CP - Lille

World Futbol
Sporting CP
Sporting CP
2 : 0
Finished
Lille
Lille

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sporting CP - Lille 17 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sporting CP.

Line favourite market consensus: Sporting CP. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.50 / X 4.48 / 2 6.97
  • 1X2 market: Sporting CP 64.5% / X 21.6% / Lille 13.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3%
1 64.5%
X 21.6%
2 13.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 17.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Sporting CP - Lille

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.97 market consensus · line only
X 4.48 market consensus · line only
1 1.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.48 22.3%
П2 6.97 14.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.74 36.5%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.76 56.8%
ТМ 2.5 2.16 46.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.43 18.4%
Match center

Full head-to-head historySporting CP - Lille

Sporting CP
0 matches total
Lille
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history