UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
23.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Stade Brestois 29 - Bayer Leverkusen

World Futbol
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Brestois 29
1 : 1
Finished
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Stade Brestois 29 - Bayer Leverkusen 23 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bayer Leverkusen.

Line favourite market consensus: Bayer Leverkusen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.76 / X 4.18 / 2 1.62
  • 1X2 market: Stade Brestois 29 16.9% / X 23.2% / Bayer Leverkusen 59.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 16.9%
X 23.2%
2 59.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 56.2%
Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Stade Brestois 29 - Bayer Leverkusen

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.62 market consensus · line only
X 4.18 market consensus · line only
1 5.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.26 market consensus · line only
1X 2.44 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.21 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.76 17.4%
Х 4.18 23.9%
П2 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.44 41.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.72 58.1%
ТМ 2.5 2.21 45.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 4.41 22.7%
П2 1.24 80.7%
Match center
Stade Brestois 29
W W
01.10 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Stade Brestois 29 4:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Stade Brestois 29 2:1 Sturm GrazSturm Graz
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Bayer Leverkusen
W W
01.10 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
19.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen 4:0 FeyenoordFeyenoord
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points