UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

Sturm Graz - Club Brugge KV

World Futbol
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
0 : 1
Finished
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sturm Graz - Club Brugge KV 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Club Brugge KV.

Line favourite market consensus: Club Brugge KV. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.83 / X 3.87 / 2 1.96
  • 1X2 market: Sturm Graz 25.4% / X 25.1% / Club Brugge KV 49.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 25.4%
X 25.1%
2 49.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Sturm Graz - Club Brugge KV

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.96 market consensus · line only
X 3.87 market consensus · line only
1 3.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.30 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.83 26.1%
Х 3.87 25.8%
П2 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.92 52.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.26 44.3%
ТМ 3.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.86 35.0%
П2 1.46 68.5%
Match center
Sturm Graz
L
19.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sturm Graz 1:2 Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 29
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Club Brugge KV
L
18.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
Club Brugge KV 0:3 Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points