UEFA Champions League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Tottenham.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Tottenham: Win 2.40 Tottenham: Draw 3.87 Atletico Madrid Win: 2.79 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.31 Individualnyy total golov Tottenham bolshe 1.5: 2.06 Individualnyy total golov Tottenham menshe 1.5: 1.78 Individualnyy total golov …
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 43.9% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.44 41.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.42 41.3% | |
| X | 3.75 26.7% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.02 24.9% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.90 25.6% |
| 2.74 36.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.81 35.6% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.82 35.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.35 42.6% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.37 42.2% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.32 43.1% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.34 42.7% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.42 70.4% | 1.49 67.1% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.16 86.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.65 60.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.62 38.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.20 45.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.05 48.8% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
Atletico Madrid
Tottenham
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Full head-to-head historyTottenham - Atletico Madrid
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Tottenham - Atletico Madrid breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
Daniel Siebert