UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League World
01.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League

VfB Stuttgart - Sparta Praha

World Futbol
VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1
Finished
Sparta Praha
Sparta Praha

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction VfB Stuttgart - Sparta Praha 1 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like VfB Stuttgart.

Line favourite market consensus: VfB Stuttgart. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 5.61 / 2 8.09
  • 1X2 market: VfB Stuttgart 70.7% / X 17.3% / Sparta Praha 12.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 70.7%
X 17.3%
2 12.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

VfB Stuttgart - Sparta Praha

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.09 market consensus · line only
X 5.61 market consensus · line only
1 1.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.26 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.37 73.0%
Х 5.61 17.8%
П2 8.09 12.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.26 30.7%
home_away 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.14 46.7%
ТМ 3.5 1.76 56.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.14 87.7%
П2 6.58 15.2%
Match center
VfB Stuttgart
L
17.09 19:00 UTC UEFA Champions League
VfB Stuttgart 1:3 Real MadridReal Madrid
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Sparta Praha
W
18.09 16:45 UTC UEFA Champions League
Sparta Praha 3:0 Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points