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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg
13.08.2026 19:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
13.08.2026 19:00 UTC
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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg

Hajduk - Zalgiris Vilnius

Football
Stadium Polyud
H
Hajduk
- : -
Not started
Zalgiris Vilnius
Zalgiris Vilnius

Hajduk face Zalgiris Vilnius on August 13, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hajduk 2-1-2, Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Hajduk — 72%

Pure model vs market (1 · Hajduk): model 58% · market 73% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Hajduk ✓ Pick72.0%
market73%
X · draw17.2%
market17%
2 · Zalgiris Vilnius10.9%
market10%

Model estimate: win Hajduk 72.0%, draw 17.2%, win Zalgiris Vilnius 10.9%. Model favourite — Hajduk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Hajduk (odds1.27) Score 2:0 confidence 61%
  • • Model backs Khayduk 🇭🇷: probability 61% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-18 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hajduk - Zalgiris Vilnius August 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Hajduk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.60 / 2 9.60

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0% 3 books · best price +1.6%
1 ✓ Pick 72.9%
X 16.9%
2 10.3%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

%

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result
Hajduk
73%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.60
Zalgiris Vilnius
10%
9.60
Total
Over 3.5
45%
2.11
Under 3.5
55%
1.71

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Hajduk 4 : 2 Zalgiris Vilnius
11.28
X5.99
211.00

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1
Af Elbasani6
Bate Borisov5
FK Mornar3
Atletic Club3
Glentoran3
FC RFS2
FK Decic2
Liepaja2
Mondorf-Les-Bains2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Una Strassen1
La Fiorita2
Runavik2
Spartans3
Connah's Quay3
Ballkani2
Vllaznia Shkoder7
Malisheva1
Bohemians D.2
St Josephs0
Alashkert Yerevan8
FC Yelimai9
Hegelmann Kaunas4
Paide1
Dila Gori4
Virtus1
Vikingur5
Stjarnan3
Europa1
Shkendija Tetovo5
Sarajevo3
Inter Turku2
Pen-y-Bont3
FC Coloma1
Nomme3
Linfield2
Zira3
Kutaisi3
Differdange3
Ilves1
Velez Mostar1
Milsami2
Dinamo Minsk5
Sileks Kratovo8
Marsaxlokk1
Pyunik Yerevan3
Dinamo City1
Astana5
Caernarfon5
Levadia Tallinn5
Petrovac3
Zalgiris Vilnius4
Qualification round 2
Ajax5
Vojvodina Novi Sad5
Sutjeska Niksic4
Maxline Vitebsk2
Dinamo City4
Aluminij Kidricevo1
ETO Gyor3
Bissen7
Zalgiris Vilnius10
Dinamo Tbilisi2
Petrocub Hincesti6
Banja Luka3
Noah Yerevan3
Zimbru2
Braga4
FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1
Zrinjski Mostar3
Valur Reykjavik2
Ludogorets4
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
New Saints4
Tallinna4
HB Torshavn2
Motherwell3
SK Rapid7
FC Coloma5
Ilves8
Stjarnan5
Gent4
Cherkasy2
Sion5
Bate Borisov1
Copenhagen5
Polissya Zhytomyr4
Velez Mostar1
Dunajska Streda3
Zira2
Paide1
Ballkani9
Bohemians D.8
FK Vardar Skopje7
Riga FC5
Tobol5
Panevezys4
CFR Cluj4
Alashkert Yerevan1
KF Dukagjini2
Lugano5
Dinamo Minsk2
Baku5
Inter Turku3
Basaksehir1
Koper4
Runavik9
Derry City1
Rijeka1
CSKA 19485
Trnava3
Atletic Club4
Vaduz2
Valletta3
Czestochowa5
IF Vestri5
FC RFS2
Auda6
FCSB4
Una Strassen4
Partizan Belgrade1
Beitar Jerusalem6
Larnaca7
Coleraine5
HJK Helsinki3
Nordsjaelland7
GAIS0
Pyunik Yerevan1
Debreceni0
Austria3
Liepaja3
Varazdin5
Jablonec2
Katowice5
Zilina2
Levadia Tallinn2
Goteborg5
Nomme7
Shelbourne3
Panathinaikos3
Paksi4
Brann5
Uni Cluj3
Shkendija Tetovo5
Bravo Ljubljana2
Apollon Limassol3
Dila Gori4
Drita3
Floriana2
Hibernian6
Malisheva1
Qualification round 3
Tre Fiori1
Drita4
IC Escaldes2
Tallinna0
Jablonec2
FC RFS0
Lugano2
Runavik0
Bohemians D.0
Midtjylland2
Paide1
SK Rapid4
Hibernian2
Shkendija Tetovo1
Inter Turku2
Vaduz1
Rijeka1
Ilves0
Braga1
Dinamo Minsk0
Auda1
Dinamo City0
Zalgiris Vilnius2
Hajduk5
Ajax3
Shelbourne1
Valur Reykjavik0
Nordsjaelland2
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Katowice0
HJK Helsinki1
Motherwell1
Goteborg0
Gent1
Debreceni0
Copenhagen3
Enschede6
Dunajska Streda0
Partizan Belgrade3
Tobol0
CFR Cluj0
Tromsoe5
Czestochowa0
Hammarby0
Brann0
Apollon Limassol1
Riga FC1
ETO Gyor0
Noah Yerevan2
Sion2
Panathinaikos1
CSKA 19481
Beitar Jerusalem1
Austria2
Banja Luka1
Maxline Vitebsk0
Dynamo Kyiv1
Qarabag0
Tiraspol1
St. Gallen3

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated10.08.2026 21:39 UTC
1 68% ✓ favourite
X 21%
2 11%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-0-0
Claude updated10.08.2026 21:41 UTC
1 63% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 17%
Score2:1 Total goals: Over 2.5 BTTS:Yes Bet:Over 2.5
Per AI data H2H: 1-0

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 68% 21% 11% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Over 2.5
Claude 63% 20% 17% 2:1 Over 2.5 Yes Over 2.5

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
399 predictions Choose an outcome
1 93% 373
X 2% 8
2 4% 18
Match center
Stadium Polyud
Start 13.08.2026 19:00 UTC
Market 1 73.3% @ 1.29 / X 16.9% @ 5.60 / 2 9.8% @ 9.60
Weather +35°C solnechno Season Conference League UEFA 2026/2027 Khayduk Split
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Hajduk 93%
🤖 7 AI models Hajduk 66%
📐 Math model Hajduk 72%
💹 Market Hajduk 73%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
🏦 Virtual bank $10,000
$10,000Virtual balance

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Match center

Hajduk - Zalgiris Vilnius

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Line
More needed
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Hajduk 72.9% 72.0% market and model agree
Draw 16.9% 17.2% draw risk
Zalgiris Vilnius 10.3% 10.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 72.0% / 17.2% / 10.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,682 / 1,338 Hajduk / Zalgiris Vilnius
RD 169 / 196 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,344-2,021 / 946-1,731 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.13 market consensus · no value · model 10.9%
X 5.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 72.0%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 82.8%
1X 1.04 market consensus · no value · model 89.1%
X2 3.40 market consensus · no value · model 28.0%
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2%
x2 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.63 61.4%
X 2.90 34.5%
8.10 12.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.10 47.6%
Under 1.5 1.68 59.5%
Match center
Hajduk Team form Zalgiris Vilnius
10 Matches 10
19 Goals 23
1.9 Per match 2.3
6 Wins 6
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 3

Form & head-to-head

H2H 1-0-0, avg 7.0 gls
2026-08-06 · Khayduk Split 5:2 Zhalgiris
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.41 (Winline) · X 5.6 (Betcity) · 2 9 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.28 5.4 9
Winline 1.41 4.9 7.4
Fonbet 1.28 5.4 9
Betcity 1.27 5.6 8.6
Liga Stavok 1.37 4.9 7.4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Hajduk
D W L L W
09.08, 14:00
Khayduk Split 2:2 Istra 1961
06.08, 12:00
Zhalgiris 2:5 Khayduk Split
02.08, 11:30
Varazhdin 2:1 Khayduk Split
30.07, 12:00
Pafos 4:0 Khayduk Split
23.07, 14:00
Khayduk Split 2:0 Pafos
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Zalgiris Vilnius
L W W L W
06.08, 12:00
Zhalgiris 2:5 Khayduk Split
30.07, 12:00
Zhalgiris 7:2 Dinamo Tbilisi
27.07, 10:45
Khegelman Litauen 2:3 Zhalgiris
23.07, 12:00
Dinamo Tbilisi 3:0 Zhalgiris
19.07, 11:00
Zhalgiris 3:1 Transinvest Vilnyus
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
3.4 Scored
2.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHajduk - Zalgiris Vilnius

Hajduk
1 matches total
Zalgiris Vilnius
Hajduk: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Zalgiris Vilnius: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Khayduk 🇭🇷 5:2 (06.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 7 goals (5:2, 06.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.08 17:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying
Khayduk 🇭🇷
5:2
Zhalgiris 🇱🇹
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Hajduk
Data 0 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Zalgiris Vilnius
Matches in history 1
Highest-scoring match 2:5
Conference League UEFA 1 / 1 / 0 / 0 / 5 / 2