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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg

3rd Qualifying round. second leg 13.08.2026 16:30 UTC

✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction

13.08.2026 16:30 UTC 3rd Qualifying round. second leg

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UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg

Rīgas FS - FK Jablonec

Football

Stadium LNK Sport Park (Riga, Latvia)

Referee I. Frid

Rīgas FS

- : -

Not started

FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS meet FK Jablonec on August 13, 2026 in the UEFA Conference League. Third qualifying rounds. Second leg.

Recent form (W-D-L): Rīgas FS 3-1-1, FK Jablonec 5-0-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Rīgas FS — 46%

Pure model vs market (1 · Rīgas FS): model 35% · market 47% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rīgas FS46.0%

X · draw25.8%

2 · FK Jablonec28.2%

Model estimate: win Rīgas FS 46.0%, draw 25.8%, win FK Jablonec 28.2%. Model favourite — Rīgas FS.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2FK Jablonec (odds3.50) Score 0:1 confidence 50%

• Model backs Yablonets 🇨🇿: probability 50% vs 29% on the line (odds 3.50)
• edge over the line +21 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rīgas FS - FK Jablonec August 13, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Rīgas FS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.00 / X 3.60 / 2 3.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3% 2 books · best price +1.3%

1 46.8%

X 25.8%

2 27.5%

Odds source: consensus of 2 books (Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League

League table

Rīgas FS

#210 ptsGP 53-1-19:5

FK Jablonec

#356 ptsGP 32-0-16:3

Best price across 13 books

1 2.10 Unibet

X 3.68 1xBet

2 3.80 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Rīgas FS

W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.64 Conceded 1.20 xG 2.09 xGA 0.98 Corners 8.3

FK Jablonec

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.86 Conceded 1.03 xG 1.60 xGA 1.04 Corners 2.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome

Agreement 1/1

Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Market consensus

Forecast by market

Match result

Rīgas FS

47%

2.00

Draw

26%

3.60

FK Jablonec

27%

3.40

Handicap

Rīgas FS (0)

63%

1.49

FK Jablonec (0)

37%

2.55

Total

Over 2.5

44%

2.13

Under 2.5

56%

1.69

Consensus probability with the bookmaker margin removed; the number on the right is the best available odds. For reference only, not a bet.

Playoff draw

Tournament bracket UEFA Conference League 26/27, Qualification

Qualification round 1

Af Elbasani6

Bate Borisov5

FK Mornar3

Atletic Club3

Glentoran3

FC RFS2

FK Decic2

Liepaja2

Mondorf-Les-Bains2

Dinamo Tbilisi3

Una Strassen1

La Fiorita2

Runavik2

Spartans3

Connah's Quay3

Ballkani2

Vllaznia Shkoder7

Malisheva1

Bohemians D.2

St Josephs0

Alashkert Yerevan8

FC Yelimai9

Hegelmann Kaunas4

Paide1

Dila Gori4

Virtus1

Vikingur5

Stjarnan3

Europa1

Shkendija Tetovo5

Sarajevo3

Inter Turku2

Pen-y-Bont3

FC Coloma1

Nomme3

Linfield2

Zira3

Kutaisi3

Differdange3

Ilves1

Velez Mostar1

Milsami2

Dinamo Minsk5

Sileks Kratovo8

Marsaxlokk1

Pyunik Yerevan3

Dinamo City1

Astana5

Caernarfon5

Levadia Tallinn5

Petrovac3

Zalgiris Vilnius4

Qualification round 2

Ajax5

Vojvodina Novi Sad5

Sutjeska Niksic4

Maxline Vitebsk2

Dinamo City4

Aluminij Kidricevo1

ETO Gyor3

Bissen7

Zalgiris Vilnius10

Dinamo Tbilisi2

Petrocub Hincesti6

Banja Luka3

Noah Yerevan3

Zimbru2

Braga4

FK Zeleznicar Pancevo1

Zrinjski Mostar3

Valur Reykjavik2

Ludogorets4

Hapoel Tel Aviv2

New Saints4

Tallinna4

HB Torshavn2

Motherwell3

SK Rapid7

FC Coloma5

Ilves8

Stjarnan5

Gent4

Cherkasy2

Sion5

Bate Borisov1

Copenhagen5

Polissya Zhytomyr4

Velez Mostar1

Dunajska Streda3

Zira2

Paide1

Ballkani9

Bohemians D.8

FK Vardar Skopje7

Riga FC5

Tobol5

Panevezys4

CFR Cluj4

Alashkert Yerevan1

KF Dukagjini2

Lugano5

Dinamo Minsk2

Baku5

Inter Turku3

Basaksehir1

Koper4

Runavik9

Derry City1

Rijeka1

CSKA 19485

Trnava3

Atletic Club4

Vaduz2

Valletta3

Czestochowa5

IF Vestri5

FC RFS2

Auda6

FCSB4

Una Strassen4

Partizan Belgrade1

Beitar Jerusalem6

Larnaca7

Coleraine5

HJK Helsinki3

Nordsjaelland7

GAIS0

Pyunik Yerevan1

Debreceni0

Austria3

Liepaja3

Varazdin5

Jablonec2

Katowice5

Zilina2

Levadia Tallinn2

Goteborg5

Nomme7

Shelbourne3

Panathinaikos3

Paksi4

Brann5

Uni Cluj3

Shkendija Tetovo5

Bravo Ljubljana2

Apollon Limassol3

Dila Gori4

Drita3

Floriana2

Hibernian6

Malisheva1

Qualification round 3

Tre Fiori1

Drita4

IC Escaldes2

Tallinna0

Jablonec2

FC RFS0

Lugano2

Runavik0

Bohemians D.0

Midtjylland2

Paide1

SK Rapid4

Hibernian2

Shkendija Tetovo1

Inter Turku2

Vaduz1

Rijeka1

Ilves0

Braga1

Dinamo Minsk0

Auda1

Dinamo City0

Zalgiris Vilnius2

Hajduk5

Ajax3

Shelbourne1

Valur Reykjavik0

Nordsjaelland2

Hapoel Tel Aviv2

Katowice0

HJK Helsinki1

Motherwell1

Goteborg0

Gent1

Debreceni0

Copenhagen3

Enschede6

Dunajska Streda0

Partizan Belgrade3

Tobol0

CFR Cluj0

Tromsoe5

Czestochowa0

Hammarby0

Brann0

Apollon Limassol1

Riga FC1

ETO Gyor0

Noah Yerevan2

Sion2

Panathinaikos1

CSKA 19481

Beitar Jerusalem1

Austria2

Banja Luka1

Maxline Vitebsk0

Dynamo Kyiv1

Qarabag0

Tiraspol1

St. Gallen3

Playoff draw: gismo. For reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated10.08.2026 18:57 UTC

1 28%

X 32%

2 40% ✓ favourite

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2

Per AI data H2H: 0-0-1

Claude updated10.08.2026 19:00 UTC

1 38% ✓ favourite

X 26%

2 36%

Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (RFSh ne proigraet)

Per AI data H2H: 0-1

AI consensus:1

AI	1	X	2	Score	Total goals	BTTS	Bet
Google AI	28%	32%	40%	1:1	Under 2.5	No	X2
Claude	38%	26%	36%	1:1	Under 2.5	No	Double chance 1X (RFSh ne proigraet)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions

414 predictions Choose an outcome

1 47% 197

X 31% 129

2 21% 88

Match center

Stadium LNK Sport Park (Riga, Latvia)

Referee I. Frid

Start 13.08.2026 16:30 UTC

Market 1 46.6% @ 2.00 / X 25.9% @ 3.60 / 2 27.4% @ 3.40

Weather +17°C solnechno Season Conference League UEFA 2026/2027 RFSh

🥊 Humans vs Machines

👥 Community Rīgas FS 47%

🤖 7 AI models FK Jablonec 38%

📐 Math model Rīgas FS 46%

💹 Market Rīgas FS 47%

⚡ Humans and machines disagree

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

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Match center

Rīgas FS - FK Jablonec

football, RFSh - Yablonets, 13 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha RFSh - Yablonets, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Conference League UEFA 2026/2027, 3rd Qualifying round. second leg.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Referees Line

More needed

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Rīgas FS 46.8% 46.0% market and model agree

Draw 25.8% 25.8% draw risk

FK Jablonec 27.5% 28.2%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 46.0% / 25.8% / 28.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,441 / 1,622 Rigas FS / Jablonec

RD 217 / 157 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,007-1,875 / 1,308-1,937 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.37 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%

X 3.59 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.98 market consensus · no value · model 46.0%

Double chance

12 1.24 market consensus · no value · model 74.2%

1X 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%

X2 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 54.0%

Handicap

2 +0.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

2 0 2.53 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only

1 0 1.47 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.83 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.91 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.83 54.6%
yes	1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Betcity
12	1.24 80.7%
1x	1.27 78.7%
x2	1.76 56.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.81 35.6%
X	2.07 48.3%
	4.15 24.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	2.12 47.2%
Under 1	1.67 59.9%

Match center

10 Matches 10

20 Goals 14

2.0 Per match 1.4

7 Wins 7

2 Draws 1

1 Losses 2

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 2.0 gls

2026-08-06 · RFSh 0:2 Yablonets

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.6 (Winline) · X 3.6 (Pari) · 2 3.5 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.93	3.6	3.5
Winline	2.6	2.9	3.1
Fonbet	1.93	3.6	3.5
Betcity	1.95	3.6	3.4
Liga Stavok	2.46	2.9	3.1

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Rīgas FS

W L D W W

10.08, 11:30

RFSh 6:1 Grobinya

06.08, 11:00

Yablonets 2:0 RFSh

30.07, 13:00

Vestri 1:1 RFSh

27.07, 10:00

Tukums 0:1 RFSh

23.07, 11:30

RFSh 4:1 Vestri

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.6 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

FK Jablonec

W W W W W

09.08, 10:00

Yablonets 1:0 Slovatsko

06.08, 11:00

Yablonets 2:0 RFSh

02.08, 13:00

Pardubitse 0:2 Yablonets

30.07, 11:00

Yablonets 2:0 Varazhdin

26.07, 10:30

Yablonets 2:1 Sigma

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.6 Conceded

15 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRīgas FS - FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS

1 matches total

FK Jablonec

Rīgas FS: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

FK Jablonec: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Yablonets 🇨🇿 0:2 (06.08 16:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 06.08 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

06.08 16:00 UTC Europe: Conference League - Qualifying

RFSh 🇱🇻

0:2

Yablonets 🇨🇿

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Rīgas FS

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 FK Jablonec

5 Games 3

3 Wins 2

1 Draws 0

1 Losses 1

9 Scored 6

5 Conceded 3

10 Points 6

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

8.6 Shots on goal 11

4 Udary v stvor 4.67

Matches in history 1

Highest-scoring match 2:0

Conference League UEFA 1 / 0 / 0 / 1 / 0 / 2

RFSh Yablonets 5 Games 3 Wins 2 1 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 9 Scored 6 5 Conceded 3 10 Points 6 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 8.6 Shots on goal 11 4 Udary v stvor 4.67 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 5.8 Uglovye 3.33 1.6 Offsaydy 3 12.4 Foly 13 55.6 % vladeniya myachom 44.33 1.2 Warnings 1 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Viktor Moroz Glavnye trenery Lyubosh Kozel Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 70% 0% 30% Double chance 35% 50% 15% Materialy po prognozam «Yablonets» — «Fastav». Prognoz: Khyubshman and Dolezhal razdelayut eks-sopernika «Lokomotiva» CHAMP('pageBlockSlider'); CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1321460' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');