UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 AZ Alkmaar — 73%
Model estimate: win AZ Alkmaar 72.8%, draw 17.1%, win FC Noah 10.1%. Model favourite — AZ Alkmaar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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AZ Alkmaar: Win 1.26 AZ Alkmaar: Draw 6.22 FC Noah Win: 10.16 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.42 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.55 Individualnyy total golov AZ Alkmaar bolshe 2.5: 2.17 Individualnyy total golov AZ Alkmaar menshe 2.5: 1.70 Individualnyy total golov FC …
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 79.4% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | |
| X | 5.70 17.5% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.35 15.8% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.50 18.2% | 6.10 16.4% |
| 9.70 10.3% | 8.70 11.5% | 9.75 10.3% | 9.00 11.1% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.50 9.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.79 55.9% |
| yes | 1.85 54.1% | 2.01 49.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.60 27.8% | 3.76 26.6% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.05 95.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.93 51.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
Drita
Shelbourne
Kristal Pelas
FC Noah
AZ Alkmar
Dynamo Kyiv
Aberdeen
Sigma Olomouts
Full head-to-head historyAZ Alkmaar - FC Noah
FC Noah
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The AZ Alkmaar - FC Noah breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
