UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
02.10.2024 14:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Başakşehir - Rapid Vienna

World Futbol
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
1 : 2
Finished
Rapid Vienna
Rapid Vienna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Başakşehir - Rapid Vienna 2 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Başakşehir.

Line favourite market consensus: Başakşehir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.25 / X 3.54 / 2 3.20
  • 1X2 market: Başakşehir 42.8% / X 27.2% / Rapid Vienna 30.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 42.8%
X 27.2%
2 30.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 48.8%
Under 2.5 51.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.10.2024 14:30 UTC
Match center

Başakşehir - Rapid Vienna

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.20 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 2.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.25 44.4%
Х 3.54 28.3%
П2 3.20 31.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.38 72.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 2.5 1.89 52.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.63 61.4%
П2 2.32 43.1%