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Start
02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
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02.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje - AEK Athens FC
3
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Celje - AEK Athens FC October 2, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AEK Athens FC.
Line favourite market consensus: AEK Athens FC. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.23 / X 3.62 / 2 2.09
- 1X2 market: Celje 29.1% / X 25.9% / AEK Athens FC 45.0%
- Total 2.5: over probability 56.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 6.4%
1
29.1%
X
26.0%
2
45.0%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Celje - AEK Athens FC
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.09
market consensus · line only
X
3.62
market consensus · line only
1
3.23
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.33
market consensus · line only
12
1.26
market consensus · line only
1X
1.74
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.35
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.11
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.07
market consensus · line only
2 +1
3.02
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.15
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.26
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.59
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 30.8% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.30 30.3% | |
| X | 3.60 27.8% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.72 26.9% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.70 27.0% |
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.06 48.5% | 2.13 47.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.30 43.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.27 44.1% |
| yes | 1.55 64.5% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.59 62.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.28 78.1% |
| home_draw | 1.70 58.8% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.04 96.2% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.67 59.9% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.91 52.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.70 37.0% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.15 46.5% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.45 69.0% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
Match center
Celje
W
W
L
W
D
Celje
2:0
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
Celje
1:0
Baník Ostrava
Baník Ostrava
Celje
2:4
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Celje
5:0
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Celje
2:2
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2.4
Scored
1.2
Conceded
10
Points
AEK Athens FC
W
D
D
D
D
AEK Athens FC
2:0
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
AEK Athens FC
1:1
Anderlecht
Anderlecht
AEK Athens FC
1:1
Aris
Aris
AEK Athens FC
2:2
Aris
Aris
AEK Athens FC
0:0
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1.2
Scored
0.8
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCelje - AEK Athens FC
Celje
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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