UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Celje - Başakşehir

World Futbol
Celje
Celje
5 : 1
Finished
Başakşehir
Başakşehir

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Celje - Başakşehir 24 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Başakşehir.

Line favourite market consensus: Başakşehir. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.39 / 2 2.32
  • 1X2 market: Celje 30.2% / X 28.4% / Başakşehir 41.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 30.2%
X 28.4%
2 41.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 51.2%
Under 2.5 48.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Celje - Başakşehir

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.32 market consensus · line only
X 3.39 market consensus · line only
1 3.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.38 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.19 31.4%
Х 3.39 29.5%
П2 2.32 43.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.38 72.5%
home_away 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.89 52.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.98 50.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.27 44.1%
П2 1.66 60.2%
Match center
Celje
L
02.10 14:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Celje 1:3 Guimaraes
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
Başakşehir
L
02.10 14:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Başakşehir 1:2 Rapid Vienna
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCelje - Başakşehir

Celje
0 matches total
Başakşehir
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history