UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Celje — 69%
Model estimate: win Celje 69.1%, draw 19.0%, win Drita 12.0%. Model favourite — Celje.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Celje.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Celje: Win 1.34 Celje: Draw 5.40 Drita Win: 8.90 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.40 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.57 Individualnyy total golov Celje bolshe 2.5: 2.30 Individualnyy total golov Celje menshe 2.5: 1.64 Individualnyy total golov Drita bolshe 0.5: 1.76 Ind…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.35 74.1% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.38 72.5% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.39 71.9% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 5.60 17.9% | 5.36 18.7% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.20 19.2% |
| 7.60 13.2% | 9.00 11.1% | 8.15 12.3% | 7.50 13.3% | 8.00 12.5% | 8.75 11.4% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.91 52.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.93 51.8% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.80 55.6% | 1.99 50.3% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.18 31.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.15 31.8% | 3.30 30.3% |
| home_away | 1.13 88.5% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.07 93.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.18 84.8% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.55 64.5% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.89 52.9% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.35 42.6% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.20 23.8% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.50 13.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.75 21.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.40 41.7% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 2.00 50.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.57 63.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.22 82.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.08 92.6% | — | — |
Celje
Drita
Celje
Drita
Shelbourne
HNK Rijeka
Sigma Olomouts
Drita
Tsele
Rayo Vallecano
AZ Alkmar
Shkendija
Shelbourne
Full head-to-head historyCelje - Drita
Drita
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Celje - Drita breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
