UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Cercle Brugge - FC ST. Gallen

World Futbol
Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge
6 : 2
Finished
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cercle Brugge - FC ST. Gallen 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cercle Brugge.

Line favourite market consensus: Cercle Brugge. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.24 / X 3.67 / 2 3.13
  • 1X2 market: Cercle Brugge 43.0% / X 26.2% / FC ST. Gallen 30.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8%
1 43.0%
X 26.2%
2 30.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 58.1%
Under 2.5 41.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Match center

Cercle Brugge - FC ST. Gallen

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.13 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 2.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.69 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.39 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.24 44.6%
Х 3.67 27.3%
П2 3.13 32.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.69 59.2%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.39 71.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 1.66 60.2%
ТМ 2.5 2.30 43.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.64 61.0%
П2 2.30 43.5%