UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Chelsea - Gent

World Futbol
Chelsea
Chelsea
4 : 2
Finished
Gent
Gent

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelsea - Gent 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Chelsea.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelsea. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.80 / 2 14.02
  • 1X2 market: Chelsea 79.2% / X 14.0% / Gent 6.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 79.2%
X 14.0%
2 6.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Chelsea - Gent

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.80 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.13 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.20 83.3%
Х 6.80 14.7%
П2 14.02 7.1%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.62 21.7%
home_away 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.05 95.2%
П2 11.79 8.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyChelsea - Gent

Chelsea
0 matches total
Gent
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history