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30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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UEFA Europa Conference League
Coleraine FC - HJK helsinki
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 HJK helsinki — 52%
Pure model vs market (2 · HJK helsinki): model 48% · market 51% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Coleraine FC 26.1%, draw 22.4%, win HJK helsinki 51.5%. Model favourite — HJK helsinki.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
2HJK helsinki (odds1.79)
Score 1:2
confidence 52%
- • liniya na pik P2 1.65→1.80 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
- • Model backs HJK helsinki: probability 52% vs 56% on the line (odds 1.79)
- • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 1:2.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Coleraine FC - HJK helsinki July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: HJK helsinki. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.50 / X 4.20 / 2 1.80
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 7.9%
1
26.5%
X
22.1%
2
51.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
4.20
↓ 3.50
1X2 X
4.05
↑ 4.20
1X2 P2
1.65
↑ 1.80
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Coleraine FC
1
:
4
HJK helsinki
13.87
X3.94
21.78
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Coleraine FC - HJK helsinki
Form
1/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
Movement
Overview
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Coleraine FC
25.8%
26.1%
Draw
22.4%
22.4%
draw risk
HJK helsinki
51.8%
51.5%
market and model agree
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
26.1% / 22.4% / 51.5%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,291 / 1,595
Coleraine FC / HJK helsinki
RD
268 / 186
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
754-1,828 / 1,223-1,967
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.80
Fonbet · no value · model 51.5%
X
4.20
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
3.50
Fonbet · no value · model 26.1%
Double chance
12
1.19
Fonbet · no value · model 77.6%
1X
1.90
Fonbet · no value · model 48.5%
X2
1.25
Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.73
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.09
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.30
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.43
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.55
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.40
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.41 41.5% |
| yes | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 1.90 52.6% |
| x2 | 1.25 80.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.10 24.4% | |
| X | 2.50 40.0% |
| 2.29 43.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.32 43.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.56 64.1% |
Match center
Coleraine FC
Country
Northern-Ireland
HJK helsinki
Country
Finland
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-0-1, avg 5.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Kolreyn 0:5 KhIK Khelsinki
Source: ruscore
Odds · 5 bookmakers
Best price: 1 4.4 (Winline) · X 4.3 (Betcity) · 2 1.8 (Pari)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Winline | 4.4 | 4.2 | 1.71 |
| Fonbet | 3.5 | 4.2 | 1.8 |
| Betcity | 3.5 | 4.3 | 1.78 |
| Liga Stavok | 4.4 | 4.2 | 1.65 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Coleraine FC
L
Coleraine FC
0:5
HJK helsinki
HJK helsinki
0
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
0.0
Scored
5.0
Conceded
0
Points
HJK helsinki
W
D
D
W
L
HJK helsinki
5:0
Coleraine FC
Coleraine FC
HJK helsinki
2:2
Arda Kardzhali
HJK helsinki
0:0
Arda Kardzhali
HJK helsinki
4:0
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
HJK helsinki
0:4
NSI Runavik
NSI Runavik
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
8
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyColeraine FC - HJK helsinki
Coleraine FC
1
matches total
Coleraine FC: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
HJK helsinki: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
HJK helsinki 0:5 (23.07 17:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (0:5, 23.07 17:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Coleraine FC
0:5
HJK helsinki
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form