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Start
23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
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23.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca October 23, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.
Line favourite Fonbet: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.17 / X 7.20 / 2 16.00
- 1X2 market: Crystal Palace 80.9% / X 13.2% / AEK Larnaca 5.9%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.6%
1
80.9%
X
13.2%
2
5.9%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.7%
Over 2.5
62.5%
Under 2.5
37.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca
Form
3/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.20
Fonbet · line only
1
1.17
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
5.00
Fonbet · line only
12
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
4.45
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.97
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
10.00
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.18
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.50
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.50
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.62
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.14 87.7% | |
| X | 7.00 14.3% | 6.50 15.4% | 7.60 13.2% | 7.50 13.3% | 7.30 13.7% | 7.50 13.3% |
| 15.00 6.7% | 12.50 8.0% | 18.00 5.6% | 15.00 6.7% | 16.50 6.1% | 17.00 5.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.62 61.7% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.62 61.7% |
| yes | 2.15 46.5% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Bwin | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.50 22.2% | 5.20 19.2% | 5.00 20.0% | 4.85 20.6% | 4.50 22.2% | 5.00 20.0% |
| home_away | 1.09 91.7% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.09 91.7% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.01 99.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.15 87.0% | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 2.25 | — | — | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 1.84 54.4% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.25 19.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
Match center
Crystal Palace
W
D
W
Crystal Palace
2:0
Dynamo Kyiv
Dynamo Kyiv
Crystal Palace
0:0
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
Crystal Palace
1:0
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
2
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
7
Points
AEK Larnaca
W
AEK Larnaca
4:0
AZ Alkmar
AZ Alkmar
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
4.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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