UEFA Europa Conference League
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Crystal Palace — 69%
Model estimate: win Crystal Palace 68.9%, draw 19.5%, win AEK Larnaca 11.6%. Model favourite — Crystal Palace.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Crystal Palace: Win 1.24 Crystal Palace: Draw 6.08 AEK Larnaca Win: 14.01 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.81 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.04 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace bolshe 2.5: 2.32 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace menshe 2.5: 1.55 Individual…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.20 83.3% | |
| X | 5.75 17.4% | 6.00 16.7% | 5.85 17.1% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.20 16.1% | 5.50 18.2% |
| 14.00 7.1% | 11.00 9.1% | 14.80 6.8% | 12.00 8.3% | 14.50 6.9% | 14.00 7.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Superbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.45 69.0% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.46 68.5% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.48 67.6% |
| yes | 2.55 39.2% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.57 38.9% | 2.61 38.3% | 2.62 38.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.20 23.8% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.33 23.1% | 4.20 23.8% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.03 97.1% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.02 98.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.0 | — | 2.03 49.3% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.95 33.9% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.50 10.5% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.80 26.3% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Under 3.0 | — | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.38 72.5% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | — |
Crystal Palace
AEK Larnaca
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Zrinjski
KuPS
Shelbourne
Strasbourg
AEK Larnaca
Shkendija
BK Hacken
HNK Rijeka
Aberdeen
Kristal Pelas
Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - AEK Larnaca
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Crystal Palace - AEK Larnaca breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
