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UEFA Europa Conference League World

Final 27.05.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

27.05.2026 19:00 UTC Final

Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano

World Football

Crystal Palace

1 : 0

Finished

Rayo Vallecano

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano May 27, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.

Line favourite market consensus: Crystal Palace. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.12 / X 3.16 / 2 3.80
1X2 market: Crystal Palace 44.8% / X 30.1% / Rayo Vallecano 25.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 44.9%

X 30.1%

2 25.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%

Over 2.5 40.8%

Under 2.5 59.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Leyptsig (Leyptsig, Germany), 39 176 zriteley (83% pri vmestimosti 47 069)

Referee Mauritsio Mariani (Rim)

Start 27.05.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Crystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Kristal Pelas - Rayo Valekano, 27 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Conference League UEFA 2025/2026, Final. Kristal Pelas - Rayo Valekano, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 6.30 Fonbet · line only

1 1.03 Fonbet · line only

2 3.80 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only

X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.02 49.5%	2.21 45.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.18 45.9%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.20 31.3%	3.21 31.2%	3.00 33.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%
	3.80 26.3%	3.91 25.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.80 26.3%	3.90 25.6%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.77 56.5%	1.71 58.5%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.77 56.5%
yes	1.95 51.3%	2.04 49.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.91 52.4%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.04 49.0%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.34 74.6%	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.22 82.0%	1.30 76.9%	1.25 80.0%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.09 91.7%	1.05 95.2%
Over 0.75	—	1.07 93.5%
Over 1.0	—	1.09 91.7%
Over 1.25	—	1.26 79.4%
Over 1.5	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%
Over 1.75	—	1.54 64.9%
Over 2.0	—	1.72 58.1%
Over 2.25	—	2.10 47.6%
Over 2.5	2.25 44.4%	—
Over 3.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Over 4.5	8.50 11.8%	—
Under 0.5	7.00 14.3%	—
Under 1.5	2.80 35.7%	—
Under 2.5	1.62 61.7%	—
Under 3.5	1.22 82.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.06 94.3%	—

Match center

Crystal Palace

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Rayo Vallecano

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Eddi Nketia Kaleb Kporkha Travmirovannye Luis Felipe

Match center

Crystal Palace

W W L W W

07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace 2:1 Shakhtar Donetsk

30.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace 3:1 Shakhtar Donetsk

16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace 1:2 Fiorentina

09.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace 3:0 Fiorentina

19.03 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Crystal Palace 2:1 AEK Larnaka

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

12 Points

Rayo Vallecano

W W L W L

07.05 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Strasbourg

30.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano 1:0 Strasbourg

16.04 19:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano 1:3 AEK Afiny

09.04 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano 3:0 AEK Afiny

19.03 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Samsunspor

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Rayo Vallecano

Crystal Palace

0 matches total

Rayo Vallecano

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Crystal Palace

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Rayo Vallecano

16 Games 14

9 Wins 10

4 Draws 1

3 Losses 3

26 Scored 27

12 Conceded 12

31 Points 31

116.75 Attacks 87

47.38 Dangerous attacks 45.17

0 Big chances 0

14.25 Shots on goal 15.33

5.44 Shots on target 6.07

Sendoffs 0 Goly Zhan-Filipp Mateta Adam Uorton 1:0 51' Nakazaniya Pate Siss 20' Isi Palason 23' Adam Uorton 42' Unay Lopes 48' Alvaro Garsiya 62' Yeremi Pino 74' Shadi Riad 82' Nobel Mendi 85' Luis Espino 90+2'

Kristal Pelas Rayo Valekano 16 Games 14 9 Wins 10 4 Draws 1 3 Losses 3 26 Scored 27 12 Conceded 12 31 Points 31 116.75 Attacks 87 47.38 Dangerous attacks 45.17 0 Big chances 0 14.25 Shots on goal 15.33 5.44 Udary v stvor 6.07 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.88 Uglovye 5.71 1.75 Offsaydy 1.57 11.69 Foly 13.64 54.44 % vladeniya myachom 55.29 1.69 Warnings 2.57 0.06 Sendoffs 0 Goly Zhan-Filipp Mateta Adam Uorton 1:0 51' Nakazaniya Pate Siss 20' Isi Palason 23' Adam Uorton 42' Unay Lopes 48' Alvaro Garsiya 62' Yeremi Pino 74' Shadi Riad 82' Nobel Mendi 85' Luis Espino 90+2'