UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Crystal Palace.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Crystal Palace: Win 1.11 Crystal Palace: Draw 9.99 Zrinjski Win: 22.14 Obschiy total golov bolshe 3.5: 2.26 Obschiy total golov menshe 3.5: 1.65 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace bolshe 2.5: 1.74 Individualnyy total golov Crystal Palace menshe 2.5: 2.11 Individualny…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.12 89.3% | 1.15 87.0% | |
| X | 7.60 13.2% | 8.20 12.2% | 9.35 10.7% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.75 11.4% |
| 21.00 4.8% | 17.00 5.9% | 25.00 4.0% | 21.00 4.8% | 19.00 5.3% | 25.00 4.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.45 69.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.45 69.0% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.47 68.0% |
| yes | 2.55 39.2% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.62 38.2% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.65 37.7% | 2.73 36.6% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 5.75 17.4% | 6.55 15.3% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.00 16.7% | 6.10 16.4% | 6.50 15.4% |
| home_away | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.07 93.5% |
| home_draw | 1.02 98.0% | 1.01 99.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.02 98.0% | 1.03 97.1% | 1.02 98.0% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.14 87.7% | — | 1.10 90.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.48 67.6% | — | — |
| Over 3.25 | — | 1.92 52.1% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.85 26.0% | — | — |
| Over 5.5 | 7.00 14.3% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 5.50 18.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.60 38.5% | — | — |
| Under 3.25 | — | 1.97 50.8% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.25 80.0% | — | — |
| Under 5.5 | 1.09 91.7% | — | — |
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
Crystal Palace
Zrinjski
KuPS
Shelbourne
Strasbourg
AZ Alkmar
Zrinjski
Kristal Pelas
Rakuv
BK Hacken
Dynamo Kyiv
Full head-to-head historyCrystal Palace - Zrinjski
Zrinjski
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Crystal Palace - Zrinjski breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
Luís Godinho