Match center
Start
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
03.10.2024 16:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Astana - TSC Backa Topola
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Astana - TSC Backa Topola 3 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FC Astana.
Line favourite market consensus: FC Astana. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.67 / X 3.98 / 2 5.18
- 1X2 market: FC Astana 57.4% / X 24.1% / TSC Backa Topola 18.5%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.3%
1
57.4%
X
24.1%
2
18.5%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC Astana - TSC Backa Topola
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.18
market consensus · line only
X
3.98
market consensus · line only
1
1.67
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.28
market consensus · line only
12
1.27
market consensus · line only
1X
1.18
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.84
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.04
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.67 59.9% |
| Х | 3.98 25.1% |
| П2 | 5.18 19.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.28 43.9% |
| home_away | 1.27 78.7% |
| home_draw | 1.18 84.8% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 2.5 | 1.84 54.4% |
| ТМ 2.5 | 2.04 49.0% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.27 78.7% |
| П2 | 3.93 25.5% |
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Astana - TSC Backa Topola
FC Astana
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals