UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
09.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Differdange 03 - Ilves

World Futbol
FC Differdange 03
FC Differdange 03
0 : 0
Finished
Ilves
Ilves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Differdange 03 - Ilves 9 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FC Differdange 03. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.50 / X 3.81 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin -47.2%
1 34.5%
X 49.7%
2 15.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

UEFA Europa Conference League
Best price across 13 books
1 2.80 Unibet
X 3.60 Bet365
2 2.45 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
FC Differdange 03
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.18 Conceded 1.18 xG 1.04 xGA 1.25 Corners 3.0
Ilves
W-D-L 2-1-3 Scored 1.71 Conceded 2.84 xG 0.89 xGA 2.25 Corners 2.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
FC Differdange 03
Rating 1517
Ilves
Rating 1366

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 09.07.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

FC Differdange 03 - Ilves

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.06 market consensus · line only
X 2.49 market consensus · line only
1 4.70 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 1.79 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.92 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.53 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.53 65.4%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.17 31.6%
Х 2.33 42.9%
П2 2.98 33.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 1 2.21 45.3%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
П1 0 1.92 52.1%
П2 0 1.79 55.9%
Match center
FC Differdange 03
L L W L W
28.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Differdange 03 0:1 DritaDrita
21.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Differdange 03 1:2 DritaDrita
14.08 16:30 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Differdange 03 1:0 FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn
07.08 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Differdange 03 2:3 FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn
29.07 18:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Differdange 03 1:0 The New SaintsThe New Saints
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Ilves
L W
31.07 16:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Ilves 0:5 AZ AlkmarAZ Alkmar
24.07 16:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League
Ilves 4:3 AZ AlkmarAZ Alkmar
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Differdange 03 - Ilves

FC Differdange 03
0 matches total
Ilves
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history