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Start
19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
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19.02.2026 17:45 UTC
Finished
UEFA Europa Conference League
FC Noah - AZ Alkmaar
1
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction FC Noah - AZ Alkmaar February 19, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AZ Alkmaar.
Line favourite Fonbet: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.10 / X 3.95 / 2 1.80
- 1X2 market: FC Noah 23.2% / X 24.1% / AZ Alkmaar 52.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.3%
1
23.2%
X
24.1%
2
52.8%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
FC Noah - AZ Alkmaar
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.80
Fonbet · line only
X
3.95
Fonbet · line only
1
4.10
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
X2
1.25
Fonbet · line only
12
1.25
Fonbet · line only
1X
2.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.26
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.35
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.63
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
2.30
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.25
Fonbet · line only
Yes
1.60
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 25.0% | 3.25 30.8% | 4.16 24.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.10 24.4% | 4.00 25.0% | |
| X | 3.90 25.6% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.95 25.3% | 3.60 27.8% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.00 25.0% |
| 1.78 56.2% | 1.98 50.5% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Betway | Bwin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.25 44.4% | 2.34 42.7% | 2.28 43.9% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.20 45.5% |
| yes | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% | 1.56 64.1% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.58 63.3% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.22 82.0% |
| home_draw | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.00 50.0% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.03 97.1% | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.03 97.1% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.15 87.0% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.19 84.0% |
| Over 2.0 | — | — | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.00 9.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.06 48.5% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Match center
FC Noah
L
W
D
L
D
FC Noah
0:2
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Dynamo Kyiv
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2:1
Legia Warszawa
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1:1
Aberdeen
Aberdeen
FC Noah
1:2
Sigma Olomouts
Sigma Olomouts
FC Noah
1:1
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Craiova
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.4
Conceded
5
Points
AZ Alkmaar
D
W
W
L
W
AZ Alkmaar
0:0
Jagiellonia
AZ Alkmaar
3:0
Drita
Drita
AZ Alkmaar
2:0
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
AZ Alkmaar
1:3
Kristal Pelas
Kristal Pelas
AZ Alkmaar
1:0
Slovan Bratislava
Slovan Bratislava
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.4
Scored
0.6
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFC Noah - AZ Alkmaar
FC Noah
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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