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UEFA Europa Conference League World

30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

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UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah - Zimbru

World Football

FC Noah

- : -

Not started

Zimbru

🎯 PropickAI prediction

High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 FC Noah — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · FC Noah): model 51% · market 72% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market

1 · FC Noah ✓ Pick70.8%

market72%

X · draw18.5%

market18%

2 · Zimbru10.7%

market10%

Model estimate: win FC Noah 70.8%, draw 18.5%, win Zimbru 10.7%. Model favourite — FC Noah.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FC Noah (odds1.29) Score 2:0 Under 2.5 (odds2.05) Handicap H1 -1.5 (odds1.85) confidence 71%

• liniya na pik P1 1.28→1.30 (udlinilas — rynok dreyfuet vs)
• Model backs FC Noah: probability 71% vs 78% on the line (odds 1.29)
• no edge over the line (-7 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 2:0
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~2 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 2.05)
• Handicap F1 -1.5: score forecast 2:0 (diff +2) covers the line (odds 1.85).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FC Noah - Zimbru July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: FC Noah. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.30 / X 5.10 / 2 9.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.1%

1 ✓ Pick 71.9%

X 18.3%

2 9.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 1.28 ↑ 1.30

1X2 X 5.00 ↑ 5.10

1X2 P2 9.00 ↑ 9.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

FC Noah 1 : 1 Zimbru

11.30

X5.05

29.95

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 30.07.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

FC Noah - Zimbru

Form 5/3 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants H2H Line Movement Overview

More needed

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

FC Noah 72.1% 70.8% market and model agree

Draw 18.2% 18.5% draw risk

Zimbru 9.7% 10.7%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 70.8% / 18.5% / 10.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,473 / 1,317 FC Noah / Zimbru

RD 139 / 214 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 1,196-1,750 / 890-1,744 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.50 Fonbet · no value · model 10.7%

X 5.10 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.30 Fonbet · no value · model 70.8%

Double chance

12 1.13 Fonbet · no value · model 81.5%

1X 1.02 Fonbet · no value · model 89.3%

X2 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 29.2%

Handicap

2 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.40 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.64 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.64 61.0%	1.64 61.0%
yes	2.13 47.0%	2.18 45.9%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.13 88.5%
1x	1.02 98.0%
x2	3.20 31.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	1.76 56.8%
X	2.49 40.2%
	9.10 11.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.61 62.1%
Under 1	2.22 45.1%

Match center

FC Noah

Country Armenia

Zimbru

Country Moldova

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-1-0, avg 2.0 gls

2026-07-23 · Noa Erevan 1:1 Zimbru

Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.31 (Winline) · X 5.6 (Winline) · 2 9.5 (Pari)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	1.3	5.1	9.5
Winline	1.31	5.6	9.2
Fonbet	1.3	5.1	9.5
Betcity	1.27	5.4	9.2
Liga Stavok	1.28	5.6	9.2

Source: ruscore · line comparison

FC Noah

D L W L W

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah 1:1 Zimbru

26.02 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah 0:4 AZ Alkmar

19.02 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah 1:0 AZ Alkmar

18.12 20:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah 0:2 Dynamo Kyiv

11.12 17:45 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah 2:1 Legia Warszawa

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.6 Conceded

7 Points

Zimbru

D L D

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Zimbru 1:1 FC Noah

31.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Zimbru 0:2 FC Astana

24.07 14:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

Zimbru 1:1 FC Astana

0 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

0.7 Scored

1.3 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFC Noah - Zimbru

FC Noah

1 matches total

Zimbru

FC Noah: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Zimbru: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 23.07 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (23.07 17:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.07 17:00 UTC UEFA Europa Conference League

FC Noah

1:1

Zimbru