UEFA Europa Conference League
UEFA Europa Conference League World
03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Europa Conference League

Fiorentina - The New Saints

World Futbol
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
2 : 0
Finished
The New Saints
The New Saints

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - The New Saints 3 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.06 / X 15.00 / 2 29.00
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 90.3% / X 6.4% / The New Saints 3.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%
1 90.3%
X 6.4%
2 3.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - The New Saints

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.06 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 market consensus · line only
1X 1.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.06 94.3%
Х 15.00 6.7%
П2 29.00 3.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 11.00 9.1%
home_away 1.03 97.1%
home_draw 1.01 99.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 1.73 57.8%
ТМ 3.5 2.00 50.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.01 99.0%
П2 23.00 4.4%