UEFA Europa Conference League
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FSV Mainz 05.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli ne polnostyu sovpadayut, poetomu prognoz nuzhno sveryat s rynkom and liniey.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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FSV Mainz 05: Win 1.31 FSV Mainz 05: Draw 5.39 Sigma Olomouc Win: 11.35 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.92 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 1.97 Individualnyy total golov FSV Mainz 05 bolshe 1.5: 1.51 Individualnyy total golov FSV Mainz 05 menshe 1.5: 2.67 Individualnyy t…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.36 73.5% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.37 73.0% | |
| X | 4.75 21.1% | 4.80 20.8% | 5.13 19.5% | 4.60 21.7% | 4.75 21.1% | 4.90 20.4% |
| 8.00 12.5% | 7.90 12.7% | 11.00 9.1% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.00 10.0% | 11.25 8.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.60 62.5% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% |
| yes | 2.20 45.5% | 2.21 45.3% | 2.33 42.9% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.33 42.9% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.30 30.3% |
| home_away | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.06 94.3% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.05 95.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% | — | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.31 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.86 53.8% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 3.25 30.8% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.25 16.0% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.00 11.1% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 3.45 29.0% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 1.85 54.1% | 2.04 49.0% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.33 75.2% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.11 90.1% | — | — |
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouts
Samsunspor
Universitatea Craiova
Fiorentina
Sigma Olomouc
Maynts
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Full head-to-head historyFSV Mainz 05 - Sigma Olomouc
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The FSV Mainz 05 - Sigma Olomouc breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
