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30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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30.07.2026 17:00 UTC
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UEFA Europa Conference League
Gent - LNZ Cherkasy
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:
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🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Gent — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Gent): model 41% · market 62% Δ −21 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Gent 61.2%, draw 23.2%, win LNZ Cherkasy 15.7%. Model favourite — Gent.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Gent - LNZ Cherkasy July 30, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Gent. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.48 / X 3.95 / 2 6.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 ✓ Pick
62.4%
X
23.4%
2
14.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1
1.37
↑ 1.48
1X2 X
4.60
↓ 4.00
1X2 P2
6.80
↓ 6.40
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Gent
1
:
1
LNZ Cherkasy
11.45
X4.05
27.24
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Gent - LNZ Cherkasy
Form
3/1
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
3
model / bookmakers
SportsMole
preview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore
context
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt
squad
Present in data
Market
Form
Match
Participants
H2H
Line
Movement
Overview
More needed
Tournament
championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad
championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table
championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Outcome
Line
Glicko
Signal
Gent
62.5%
61.2%
market and model agree
Draw
23.1%
23.2%
draw risk
LNZ Cherkasy
14.4%
15.7%
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P2
61.2% / 23.2% / 15.7%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating
1,641 / 1,685
Gent / LNZ Cherkasy
RD
240 / 259
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD
1,161-2,121 / 1,167-2,204
strength interval
HFA: 62
HFA mu: 0.357
MoV: on
N: N=1
P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
6.50
Fonbet · no value · model 15.7%
X
3.95
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1
1.48
Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
Double chance
12
1.20
Fonbet · no value · model 76.8%
1X
1.08
Fonbet · no value · model 84.3%
X2
2.45
Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%
Handicap
2 -1
1.92
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.93
market consensus · line only
2 0
4.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
1.78
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.95
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5
1.75
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.10
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% |
| x2 | 2.47 40.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 2.45 40.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.99 50.3% | |
| X | 2.29 43.7% |
| 7.20 13.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.82 55.0% |
| Under 1 | 1.92 52.1% |
Match center
Gent
Country
Belgium
LNZ Cherkasy
Country
Ukraine
Match center
Form & head-to-head
H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-07-23 · Gent 0:0 LNZ Cherkascy
Source: ruscore
Odds · 3 bookmakers
Best price: 1 1.48 (Pari) · X 5 (Winline) · 2 7.2 (Winline)
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.48 | 3.95 | 6.4 |
| Winline | 1.41 | 5 | 7.2 |
| Betcity | 1.48 | 3.9 | 6.7 |
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Gent
D
W
L
Gent
0:0
LNZ Cherkasy
LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
2:1
Molde
Gent
2:4
Chelsea
Chelsea
1
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.3
Scored
1.7
Conceded
4
Points
LNZ Cherkasy
D
LNZ Cherkasy
0:0
Gent
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
0.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyGent - LNZ Cherkasy
Gent
1
matches total
Gent: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
LNZ Cherkasy: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
0:0 (23.07 17:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
Gent
0:0
LNZ Cherkasy
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